Methods for Forecasting Demand and Quantifying Need for Rural Passenger Transportation

Citation: Vanasse Hangen Brustlin, et al. Methods for Forecasting Demand and Quantifying Need for Rural Passenger Transportation. Transit Cooperative Research Program Report 58. (2013).

Link: https://www.nap.edu/catalog/22618/methods-for-forecasting-demand-and-quantifying-need-for-rural-passenger-transportation

Abstract:
This report presents methods to quantify the need for passenger transportation services and the demand that is likely to be generated if passenger transportation services are provided. These methods were developed using data from the Rural National Transit Database, the National Household Transportation Survey, the American Community Survey, and the Longitudinal Employment-Household Dynamics dataset as well as data on services operated and ridership on those services provided by over 200 individuals who participated in workshops held in 2010-2011. This report documents the process used to develop the need and demand estimation methods, the findings of the analysis, and recommendations for functions to be used in estimation of need and demand.